Polyhood
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How it works

Trade the outcome, not the opinion.

A prediction market turns a disagreement into a price. Polyhood runs that price on Robinhood Chain, so the odds, the collateral, and the payout are all things you can check rather than things you are told.

Resolution you can read

The rule is on the market page, not in a support article. A market with an ambiguous source is voided at cost rather than settled on a judgement call.

Collateral held by the contract

Nothing routes through a desk. Collateral sits in the market contract until settlement, and redemption is a call anyone can make on their own behalf.

Settled on Robinhood Chain

Blocks are cheap and quick enough that a five-minute market is worth running. Chain id 4663, native asset ETH.

From question to payout

  1. 01

    A question gets a rule before it gets a price

    Every market ships with the exact source that decides it and the edge cases spelled out — what a tie does, what a revision does, what a cancellation does. If the rule cannot be written down plainly, the market does not open.

  2. 02

    Two shares are minted against one dollar

    A dollar of collateral mints one Yes and one No. Together they are always worth exactly a dollar, so a price is just the market's honest read of the odds — 63¢ for Yes means the book thinks it happens 63% of the time.

  3. 03

    The book is public while it trades

    Orders, fills, and the running price live on chain. You do not have to trust a screenshot of a chart: the same numbers are readable from the explorer by anyone who wants to check them.

  4. 04

    Settlement pays one side, in full

    When the source publishes, the winning share redeems for a dollar and the losing share for nothing. There is no partial credit and no discretionary payout — the contract pays whoever holds the right share.

Where $POLYHOOD fits

The token is not the collateral. Markets settle in the network asset; $POLYHOOD is the claim on what the venue earns while they do. Fees taken at settlement flow back to the token rather than to a private book.

See the token

Questions worth asking first

What happens if the source never publishes?

The market voids and every share redeems at what it cost. A market that cannot be resolved is not settled on a guess.

Can a price go above a dollar?

No. Yes and No always sum to one dollar, so a share never trades above 100¢ — anything past that is an arbitrage the book closes immediately.

Do I need to hold the token to trade?

No. Trading needs collateral and gas on Robinhood Chain. $POLYHOOD is optional and separate from any position you take.

Is trading live right now?

Not yet. The board here is a static snapshot: prices are seeded, the order book is not connected, and connecting a wallet only proves the address is yours.